Wednesday 4 September 2013

Syria, and Beyond.

The first thing I have to say about the conflict in Syria is, that it is not, and I repeat, not, a civil war. It is not even Syrian against Syrian. There are definitely Syrian nationals fighting on both sides but, it is not a civil war. On the rebel side, there are Libyans, Pakistani Taliban, Iraqi and Afghan fighters to name a few. One of the main factors is that on the whole, this a western sponsored proxy war, that is to say that the US CIA and UK MI6, Israel's Mossad and the Saudis are the main backers of the uprising. Syria and it's people mean nothing to the western powers, they are being used as pawns in a massive game of chess, the objective being, Iran and then comes the big confrontation. That big confrontation will be between the USA, Russia and China. It can be summed up in a "wild west" analogy. Instead of "this town isn't big enough for all of us" It's a case of "this planet isn't big enough for the three of us." Two of the three have to go and when it comes to the crunch, there is only one way this can go, WW3. Now. Two of the three could join forces and I don't see it being Russia and the US. China and the US could happen, they are already quite close economically but, it would be an alliance that would be shaky at best. China and Russia could probably be the most likely option because although the Russians have adopted democracy? Politically, they are still slightly similar. Anyway, that is jumping the gun so to speak. My point is that although the Syrian crisis is the focus of the worlds attention at the moment, it is but a stepping stone to a more serious crisis in the not to distant future. I watch with interest.
Till next time.
Looking back to what I wrote last year. I have to say that the "crisis" I saw was not the Crimea, Ukraine. I didn't think that the EU and USA would make such a large jump forward to direct confrontation with Russia. There must be some poker players in the EU/US military, although in this case, they seem to have overplayed their hand. With Russia already having military bases in Crimea, stand by for them to be enlarged and substantially reinforced in the near future. Putin has promised total equality to all the ethnic groups within the Crimea. Time will tell whether his promises will be kept. Interesting times to come.
Till next time.